Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.146763 2.485320 2.857485 3.296626 3.800327 4.359713 5.027781
2025-02-23 1.584978 2.004178 2.504567 3.144736 3.940855 4.897207 6.132191
2025-03-02 1.190248 1.627117 2.187830 2.957830 3.985231 5.306158 7.130618
2025-03-09 0.972479 1.425520 2.045851 2.953011 4.241019 5.998784 8.573669
2025-03-16 0.785477 1.227608 1.869926 2.864650 4.358858 6.510810 9.834309
2025-03-23 0.703631 1.164687 1.870877 3.021752 4.839022 7.583543 12.023941
2025-03-30 0.624284 1.090032 1.839270 3.119248 5.235437 8.573657 14.209131
2025-04-06 0.542270 0.995830 1.759976 3.124536 5.479720 9.348924 16.144139
2025-04-13 0.447872 0.863727 1.596379 2.961793 5.417906 9.612948 17.263902
2025-04-20 0.408235 0.822884 1.583454 3.056382 5.805859 10.667976 19.838945
2025-04-27 0.382018 0.802595 1.603637 3.211461 6.317812 11.990684 23.028891
2025-05-04 0.348926 0.763187 1.581552 3.282021 6.678282 13.075701 25.901104
2025-05-11 0.313662 0.715235 1.539015 3.312874 6.978588 14.106091 28.838000
2025-05-18 0.271659 0.645965 1.443422 3.223011 7.027896 14.663355 30.931079
2025-05-25 0.230438 0.571188 1.324838 3.066965 6.918594 14.891099 32.388843
2025-06-01 0.208302 0.536573 1.288175 3.082924 7.174971 15.889298 35.542170
2025-06-08 0.182395 0.488373 1.213674 3.002858 7.209591 16.425384 37.778538
2025-06-15 0.175489 0.486291 1.246011 3.174715 7.834034 18.298577 43.127128
2025-06-22 0.165156 0.473592 1.250937 3.281496 8.320361 19.919338 48.091552
2025-06-29 0.150601 0.447089 1.217776 3.289730 8.572164 21.036175 52.028789
2025-07-06 0.129312 0.398153 1.120032 3.120208 8.365810 21.066342 53.429182
2025-07-13 0.122400 0.389058 1.125592 3.220567 8.851024 22.790962 59.070452
2025-07-20 0.118505 0.388209 1.153344 3.384206 9.519910 25.033004 66.216101